Rates and the forecast for the match Southampton — Manchester United, 31 Aug 2019

In the first match of the 4th round of the English Premier League will meet “Southampton” and “Manchester United” — teams with different goals in the national championship, which for the previous 3 matches managed to lose only once to win.

Last season on “St Mary’s, the Stadium” they played a draw with the score 2:2, but at old Trafford the victory of 3:2 was won by “United”. If they beat Southampton for the first time in more than 2.5 years?

The contents

  • Southampton
  • Manchester United
  • The coefficients and forecast


The team from the South coast of England will start playing in the 4th round of the championship from 18-th place in the standings. Let less points in the Premier League earned only “Watford” — he’s the only one not earned even a single, the hosts can say goodbye to the relegation zone at the end of this tour.

Judging by that produces a predictive system of the website “five-network-eyti” (FiveThirtyEight), Southampton is not among the main contenders to return to championship: the probability of departure is 17%, whereas the chances to progress to the Champions League — 4%. Before the start of the season, by the way, was worse.

The probability of departure decreased after the “saints” beat “the seagulls” from Brighton on departure with the account 0:2 — this despite the fact that competitors are also from the South, as “red devils”, in the previous rounds one win and a draw.

However, despite the fact that the last time Southampton beat “Manchester United” in 2016-m to year, at home in the Premier League he defeated guests from “old Trafford” in the distant 2003, or 8 games ago.

Moreover, Manchester United beat the hosts of “the Saint Marys of the Stadium” on their field in all tournaments more often than any other team 10 times. Winning Tuesday’s match against Fulham in the League Cup is not exactly contribute to improvement of the preparation technique.

Manchester United

The team from Manchester had a great start in the new season with a defeat of Chelsea at old Trafford with the score 4:0, but after stalled again lost points in a match against Wolverhampton 1:1 to “Molineux” — and, as the cherry on the cake, suffered a home defeat from “crystal Palace” with the score 1:2.

In the last 14 matches in the Premier League “Manchester United” in only one meeting with Chelsea not conceded a goal from the opponents. During this time, the team that more than any other in the history of APL has not implemented a penalty — 37 out of 144, — missed 22 goals, and she scored a 19.

But she opened the account in 7 of their last 9 matches, with his participation, while its rival from the South of the country in 6 of the previous 8 matches. After setbacks in the 2nd and 3rd rounds of the guests, of course, run to get the necessary 3 points.

The coefficients and forecast

Manchester United is considered the favorite to win, but the odds on it not so low to prevent the probability of winning the “Southampton”:

3.6–4.3: victory “Southampton”;
3.2–3.6: draw;
1.9–2.0: a victory “Manchester United”.

Our favorite bet on goals from both teams this time are not shipped with high odds, so it is necessary to come up with a combination. Not to risk, choose her a pair over.