Rates and the forecast for the match Manchester city — Brighton, 31 Aug 2019

In parallel, as Chelsea will try to climb into the top half of the table in the home match against “Sheffield United”, “Manchester city” will strive to lead in the English Premier League and may become a leader before “Liverpool” will play against “Burnley”. Hello, this is the 4th round of the Premier League.

Last season city and Brighton played each other three times, because they still met in the semi-finals of the FA Cup, but every time they fight against each other ended with a victory of operating Champions of the country: 2:0, 1:0 (Cup) and 1:4.

The contents

  • Manchester City
  • Brighton
  • The coefficients and forecast

Manchester City

The team from the North West of England, after the 3 initial rounds of the Premier League is in the standings to 2nd place and has in the standings 7 points despite the fact that she had the biggest difference of goals scored and goals among League teams: 10 vs 3.

Despite the successful start — defeat of the “West ham United” with the score 0:5 immediately provided the leadership in the table — Manchester city both missed in the following rounds and dropped points, while Liverpool only won all 3 matches.

Given the status of the opponent, “city” should win. According to a predictive model of the website “five-network-eyt” (FiveThirtyEight), the team of PEP Guardiola is considered the main contender for the championship: 63% vs 30% in Liverpool.

The eagles defeated the gulls in the last 5 meetings in all competitions and have never lost to them at home in the championship: winning 5 to this Saturday, that they did not know defeats in 4 previous games against the southern team.

This match may extend unbeaten run Manchester city in the Premier League to 18 games in only one of the previous 17-and he won. However, in 5 of the last 6 matches in all competitions, the reigning champion scored and missed.

Brighton

The results last season didn’t satisfy the management of the club from the South coast of England, so they announced the breakup with Chris Houghton, chief coach of the team, which retained the “seagulls” residence in the Premier League and made the semi-finals of the FA Cup, where they lost just yet, “the eagles”.

According to the forecasts of the website “538”, after the 3rd round Brighton — 3rd applicant for a departure to the championship, the probability of decrease is 36%. This is despite the fact that the team will start the tour in 8th place in the standings with 4 points and a positive goal difference and goals conceded.

Graham Potter, now coaching Albion, last season met city in the FA Cup in the status of the head coach “Swansea” — then the Welsh team surprised guests with the fact that was leading 2:0, but by the end of the game still lost 2:3.

The coefficients and forecast

In this round of the Premier League for the win of Brighton offer the highest coefficients among all League teams:

1.07–1.14: win Manchester city;
9.0–13.5: draw;
19-42: victory “Brighton and Hove Albion”.

When Houghton “gulls” were able to keep the defense, albeit fairly conceded a goal from eagles. God knows what will happen with Potter, so I have to take a chance and bet that the guests will score too.