In one of the matches of the 3rd round of the Spanish La Liga, which will be held this Sunday, will play “Atletico Madrid” and “Barcelona”. Their personal meeting on the “Wanda Metropolitano” last season ended in a draw with the score 1:1, but in the Basque Country the capitals team still managed to win the minimum victory.
- Atletico Madrid
- The coefficients and forecast
The Madrid team started the weekend in 3rd place in the standings Examples and yielded only teams that scored points in Friday’s matches of the 3rd round. On Thursday, it was second only to Sevilla on scored and conceded goals of the team in a couple games he scored only a few goals, but both were victorious.
The minimum victory over “Getafe” home and “Leganes” on the road were 7-th and 8-th row, respectively, and among 8 of these winning matches were only one, in which the “Atletico Madrid” has not opened the account. In addition, the team led by Diego Simeone scored first in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head with the “Eibar”.
Do “Indians” have not carried out any confrontation with the “arms” without a goal scored, and this goes on since the dawn of time, when both the team played in Segunda in the early noughties.
According to a predictive model of the website “five-network-eyt” (FiveThirtyEight), Vice-champion of Spain — 3rd bidder at the end of this season to become the champion and get into the Champions League: the probability of first reaching 15% as 63%. Above are only the “real Madrid” and “Barcelona”.
In 2 last games atlético have scored just one goal, but in the 3rd match, especially at home, it can be expected the greatest impact.
Before this weekend the team from the Basque Country took 15th place in the standings, one point from the opening 2 rounds, as even 5 players in La Liga. She lost “Mallorca” with the score 2:1 in the first round and then played a draw with “Osasuna” 0:0.
The match against atlético will be “Eibar” 3-m away, so high scores from guests to expect, please don’t. And therefore may increase the performance of the home team, taking into account the fatigue rivals from the constant wandering.
According to the forecasts of the website “538” probability of victory “gunsmiths” on Sunday is 14%, whereas their opponents — 62%. It and is clear: “Barcelona” won a victory over Atletico Madrid in 2001-m to year, even 2 of the 3 recent head-to-head with the capital team and ended in a draw with scored and missed goals.
Judging by the forecasts of the same “five-network-eyt”, despite the one point earned out of 6 possible, “Eibar” will struggle for an exit in the Europa League. The probability of returning to Segundo is 12% less, only 7 teams.
The coefficients and forecast
It’s not like we have any chances to win the “Wanda Metropolitano”:
1.32–1.46: victory “Atletico Madrid”;
7.2–11.2: victory “Eibar”.
To bet on goals from both teams, given the upgrade and the results of the hosts, perhaps, be rash. Suitable and risk-free bet handicap -1 looks.