Before the break for international matches 4 th round of the English Premier League will end in the Central match of the weekend not only in Britain — Severodoneck Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur.
In the previous season, their rivals have met three times in the Premier League with the score 4:2 won Arsenal and was a draw 1:1, and in the Cup quarter-final football League victory with the score 0:2 was won by Tottenham.
- Tottenham Hotspur
- The coefficients and forecast
Last season the gunners made the worse spurs’: lost the final of the Europa League, not Champions League, and at the end of the season also came out to LE and not the Champions League. In this campaign, the hosts are still above the guests, but the defeat will turn the situation in favor of the team with “Tottenham Hotspur of the Stadium”.
If you rely on a predictive model of the website “five-network-eyt” (FiveThirtyEight), this season for Arsenal could end up the same as the previous command with “Emirates” is considered to be only the 5th or 6 the applicant for an exit in the Champions League, sharing the lines with “Manchester United” — the probability is 31%.
This means that Arsenal will once again be below Tottenham — the 3rd applicant does not only exit in the Champions League with a chance to make it 45%, but for the championship chance with 2%. Not enough, but more than just a “Liverpool” and “Manchester city”: 35% and 60%, respectively.
Generally “gunners” in recent years, no matter against the “spurs”. They have won just 2 of their last 10 confrontations with the neighbors in the city, although both victories in both previous seasons, have won just after in his field.
And in 6 of the 7 last matches in all competitions, Arsenal and scored, and missed — in 4 previous meetings with “Hotspur” without conceding goals has not been.
Despite the fact that spurs managed to impose the fight to Arsenal from the last 26 matches at the Emirates they have won only one — almost 9 years ago.
Raises concerns not only the factor of home field Arsenal but recent performances, Tottenham: he barely fought off Manchester city and in his field lost “Newcastle United” — 5 matches in a row with an extent.
As principled opponents of “purple-white” need to improve their defense: they have scored and conceded in 4 of last 5 fights, and missed first in all 3 opening rounds of the new season of the Premier League.
At the same time, Arsenal opened the scoring in 9 out of 10 of their last duels, 8 of which in this case ended not less than with 3 goals in the previous 7 meetings with “Tottenham” was only one such match.
The coefficients and forecast
At the Emirates a favorite with a slight advantage is considered the “Arsenal”:
2.35–2.62: the victory of “Arsenal”;
2.65–2.91: victory Tottenham Hotspur.
Judging by the odds in this confrontation is a high performance like the one that was at the Emirates in the Premier League last season. If the risk, with the greatest benefit.