Rates and the forecast for the match Arsenal — standard Liege, October 3, 2019

One of the late evening match of the 2nd round of the Europa League will meet members of the group F: the English “Arsenal” and Belgian “standard Liege”. Both teams won in the first round, but only one — the favorite of the group and tournament as a whole, and the other contender for the exit in the playoffs.

The contents

  • Arsenal
  • Standard Liege
  • The coefficients and forecast


The English team is quite good, started the new season in Europa League and in the Premier League, one he took first place, another was on the 4th position, which provides access to the Champions League next season.

In the first round, Arsenal unexpectedly defeated with the score 0:3 the German “Eintracht Frankfurt” on the road, so took the first place in the standings of the LE, and therefore its probability of exit in the playoffs, the occupation of the first place, repeated participation in the finals and winning it after the defeat of semifinalist only grown.

Judging by the rating of the website “five-network-eyt”, “gunners” together with “nervenzelle” of Seville and “dragons” from Porto — 2nd group of favourites to win a trophy with a 6% chance — more than just a “red devils” from Manchester: 9%.

Recent performances of Arsenal confirmed his status as one of the main applicants for an exit in the Champions League, where he can hit both of the top-4 of the English Premier League and in case of victory in the final of the Europa League: the team led by Unai emery has not lost any of their last 6 matches, including against “Tottenham” and “Manchester United”.

Of the 9 matches this season, Arsenal has lost only one, against Liverpool, but scored and conceded in 6 of the previous 8 games, and only one of 8 was in total scored less than 3 goals — it was a match against Manchester United on Monday.

Standard Liege

The Belgian team started well in the group stage of the Europa League, beating Portuguese “Victoria Guimaraes” with the account 2:0, and takes 2nd place in the standings of the national championship, let 3 teams around have one game in hand. The alignment is generally good.

Therefore it is not surprising that the outsider of group F — just the same, “Vitoria”, but the output in the playoffs, “standard”, according to the forecasts of the website “538”, claims with a probability of 40%, whereas the promotion of Eintracht Frankfurt is estimated at 55%.

Not to mention the victory, in the case of a draw the “red” from the Benelux will lead the standings of the group, the more that the background to this is: they have not lost any of their last 5 matches in all tournaments, and in 4 opened the account.

However, of the 11 matches this season “standard” not only passed in 4, and only one of them — the first — held in the hotel.

The coefficients and forecast

Judging by the bookmakers odds, the team from the capital of England will continue to lead in group F and almost never leave the chance opponent:

1.29–1.37: the victory of “Arsenal”;
5.25–5.70: draw;
7.55–9.80: victory of the “standard Liege”.

Defense “the gunners” are known for their problems, but to bet on goals from both teams on the “Emirate” is a risk. Other adequate variants with more or less good odds, however, this game does not offer.